John M. Drake

- To introduce participants to several models that express the core theory for the propagation of epidemics
- To teach the numerical methods needed to study these models
- To teach the statistical methods needed to parameterize these models for specific applications, (e.g. model fitting, sensitivity analysis)

- Introduction to R programming
- Philosophical discussion of the science and art of modeling
- Deterministic models
- Stochastic models
- The basic reproduction number \( R_0 \)
- Estimating \( R_0 \)
- Infectious disease management (vaccination and social distancing)
- Coping with uncertainty
- Maximum likelihood estimation

- Participant will be able to
**formulate**basic models from an understanding of the epidemiology of a pathogen - Participant will be able to
**discern**what kind of modeling approach is relevant to a given situation - Participant will be able to
**solve**deterministic and stochastic compartmental models - Participant will be able to
**fit**deterministic and stochastic compartmental models - Participant will be able to
**understand**and**critique**models created by others

John M. Drake

Professor, University of Georgia

Director, Center for the Ecology of Infectious Diseases

- email: jdrake@uga.edu
- webpage: https://daphnia.ecology.uga.edu/drakelab
- twitter: @drake_lab
- Forbes column: https://www.forbes.com/sites/johndrake/

- Name
- Area of expertise
- Interest in the workshop
- Any prior modeling experience