{"id":1488,"date":"2015-02-24T15:00:06","date_gmt":"2015-02-24T15:00:06","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/daphnia.ecology.uga.edu\/drakelab\/?p=1488"},"modified":"2015-02-24T15:00:06","modified_gmt":"2015-02-24T15:00:06","slug":"update-projected-spread-of-white-nose-syndrome","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/daphnia.ecology.uga.edu\/drakelab\/?p=1488","title":{"rendered":"UPDATE: Projected spread of White-nose Syndrome"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sean Maher<\/a> has\u00a0updated our model for the spread of White-nose Syndrome<\/a> in the United States. The revised model was fit to data on the timing of all known county-level infections as of September 2014. There are two main differences. First, with two more years of spread, there are more counties now known to be infected. Second, Woodward County, Oklahoma, which was believed\u00a0to have been infected at the time of the original study is now known to have been a false positive<\/a>. The revised model projects a somewhat\u00a0faster speed of spread, predicting that the pathogen will reach all\u00a0counties by 2035.\u00a0The predicted overall route of spread is unchanged, as this is reflects the geographic patterns of cave-bearing geology and climate. The revised map has a DOI (10.6084\/m9.figshare.1314947) and is available on Figshare<\/a>.<\/p>\n

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