{"id":1681,"date":"2016-01-05T16:58:01","date_gmt":"2016-01-05T16:58:01","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/daphnia.ecology.uga.edu\/drakelab\/?p=1681"},"modified":"2017-07-10T22:54:25","modified_gmt":"2017-07-10T22:54:25","slug":"leading-indicators-of-mosquito-borne-disease-elimination","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/daphnia.ecology.uga.edu\/drakelab\/?p=1681","title":{"rendered":"Leading indicators of mosquito-borne disease elimination"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The elimination of malaria and other mosquito-borne pathogens is a major public health issue worldwide. A considerable obstacle to disease elimination in resource poor countries is &#8220;sustaining the gains&#8221;, i.e. maintaining the will to continue investing\u00a0in control activities when transmission\u00a0has been reduced to low levels. Particularly, how can one tell if a disease system is near the tipping point when there are only a few cases? Our prior work on <a href=\"http:\/\/link.springer.com\/article\/10.1007%2Fs12080-013-0185-5\/fulltext.html\">critical transitions in directly transmitted disease systems<\/a>\u00a0showed\u00a0that critical slowing down occurs in the vicinity of such points. Now, a new study\u00a0in collaboration with Suzanne O&#8217;Regan at the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nimbios.org\/\">National Institute for Mathematical and Biological Synthesis<\/a> establishes the theoretical conditions under which critical slowing down should occur in\u00a0vector-borne diseases. Press releases were issued by both <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ecology.uga.edu\/newsItem.php?New_model_uses_public_health_statistics_to_signal_when_disease_elimination_is_imminent-372\/\">UGA<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nimbios.org\/press\/FS_epidemic\">NIMBioS<\/a> and the primary research has been published open access so it can be read by anyone.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>O&#8217;Regan, S. M., J.W. Lillie &amp; J.M. Drake.\u00a02016. Leading indicators of mosquito-borne disease elimination. <em>Theoretical Ecology<\/em>. (In press.) [<a href=\"http:\/\/dx.doi.org\/10.1007\/s12080-015-0285-5\">online<\/a>]<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The elimination of malaria and other mosquito-borne pathogens is a major public health issue worldwide. A considerable obstacle to disease elimination in resource poor countries&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":1770,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8,9,43],"tags":[28,4],"class_list":["post-1681","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-critical-transitions","category-epidemics","category-new-paper","tag-critical-transitions-2","tag-infectious-diseases"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/daphnia.ecology.uga.edu\/drakelab\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1681","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/daphnia.ecology.uga.edu\/drakelab\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/daphnia.ecology.uga.edu\/drakelab\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/daphnia.ecology.uga.edu\/drakelab\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/daphnia.ecology.uga.edu\/drakelab\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1681"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/daphnia.ecology.uga.edu\/drakelab\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1681\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1683,"href":"https:\/\/daphnia.ecology.uga.edu\/drakelab\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1681\/revisions\/1683"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/daphnia.ecology.uga.edu\/drakelab\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/1770"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/daphnia.ecology.uga.edu\/drakelab\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1681"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/daphnia.ecology.uga.edu\/drakelab\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1681"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/daphnia.ecology.uga.edu\/drakelab\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1681"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}