Some members of Project AERO have contributed to the MIDAS Network Ebola Modeling Working Group. This page archives results from that work.
- Drake, J.M., R.B. Kaul, L.W. Alexander, S.M. O’Regan, A.M. Kramer, J.T. Pulliam, M.J. Ferrari, & A.W. Park. 2015. Ebola cases and health system demand in Liberia. PLoS Biology 13: e1002056.
- Drake, J.M., R.B. Kaul, L.W. Alexander, S.M. O’Regan, A.M. Kramer, J.T. Pulliam, M.J. Ferrari, & A.W. Park. 2015. Data from: Ebola cases and health system demand in Liberia. Dryad Digital Repository. Dryad Digital Repository. http://dx.doi.org/10.5061/dryad.17m5q
- Alexander, K.A., C.E. Sanderson, M. Marathe, B.L. Lewis, C.M. Rivers, J. Shaman, J.M. Drake, E. Lofgren, V. Dato, M.C. Eisenberg, & S. Eubank. What factors might have led to the emergence of Ebola in West Africa? PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases (in press).
- Lofgren, E., M.E. Halloran, C.M. Rivers, J.M. Drake, T.C. Porco, B. Lewis, W. Yang, A. Vespignani, J. Shaman, J.N.S. Eisenberg, M.C. Eisenberg, M. Marathe, S.V. Scarpino, K.A. Alexander, R. Meza, M.J. Ferrari, J.M. Hyman, L.A. Meyers, S. Eubank. 2014. Mathematical models: A key tool for outbreak response. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA 111:18095-18096.
- C. Rivers, K. Alexander, S. Bellan, S. Del Valle, J. M. Drake, J. N.S. Eisenberg, S. Eubank, M. Ferrari, M. E. Halloran, A. Galvani, B. L. Lewis, J. Lewnard, E. Lofgren, C. Macal, M. Marathe, M. L. Ndeffo Mbah, L. Ancel Meyers, R. Meza, A. Park, T. Porco, S. V. Scarpino, J. Shaman, A. Vespignani, W. Yang. 2014. Ebola: models do more than forecast (letter to the editor). Nature 515:492.
- Halloran, M.E., A. Vespignani, N. Bharti, L.R. Feldstein, K.A. Alexander, M. Ferrari, J. Shaman, J.M. Drake, T. Porco, J.N.S. Eisenberg, S.Y. Del Valle, E. Lofgren, S.V. Scarpino, M.C. Eisenberg, D. Gao, J.M. Hyman, S. Eubank, I.M. Longini. 2014. Ebola: mobility data (letter to the editor). Science 346:433.
- King, A.A., M. Domenech de Cellss, F.M.G. Magpantay, P. Rohani. 2015. Avoidable errors in the modelling of outbreaks of emerging pathogens, with special reference to Ebola. Proceedings of the Royal Society, Series B 282:20150347; DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2015.0347.
- Drake, J.M., I. Bakach, M.R. Just, S.M. O’Regan, M. Gambhir, I. C.-H. Fung. Transmission models of historic Ebola outbreaks: a review. Emerging Infectious Diseases 21:1447-1450.
- Schmidt, J.P., A.W. Park, A.M. Kramer, B.A. Han, L.W. Alexander, & J.M. Drake. Spatiotemporal fluctuations and triggers of Ebolavirus spillover. Emerging Infectious Diseases 23:415-422.
- Kramer, A.M., J.T. Pulliam, *L. Alexander, P. Rohani, A.W. Park & J.M. Drake. 2016. Spatial spread of the West Africa Ebola epidemic. Royal Society Open Science. (In press.)
- Vinson, J.E., J.M. Drake, P. Rohani, & A.W. Park. 2016. The potential for sexual transmission to compromise control of Ebola virus outbreaks. Biology Letters 12:20151079.
- Han, B., J.P. Schmidt, *L. Alexander, S.E. Bowden, D.T.S. Hayman & J.M. Drake. 2016. Undiscovered bat hosts of filoviruses. PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases 10:e0004815.
- Drake, J.M. & A.W. Park. 2016. A model for coupled outbreaks contained by behavior change. Pp. 25-37 in Mathematical Modeling for Emerging and Re-emerging Infectious Diseases, G. Chowell & M. Hyman, eds. Springer: New York.