A data-driven semi-parametric model of SARS-CoV-2 transmission in the United States

A data-driven semi-parametric model of SARS-CoV-2 transmission in the United States

As infectious disease modelers, one of the greatest challenges we face is in accurately reflecting the complexities of transmission, particularly human behavior. Important factors we…

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Transient indicators of tipping points in infectious diseases

Transient indicators of tipping points in infectious diseases

A variety of generic indicators have been proposed to identify gradual changes in a population that can be used to anticipate the onset or conclusion…

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Environmental Predictors of Schistosomiasis Persistent Hotspots following Mass Treatment with Praziquantel

Environmental Predictors of Schistosomiasis Persistent Hotspots following Mass Treatment with Praziquantel

Schistosomiasis is a parasitic disease that impairs the physical and cognitive development of more than 200 million individuals globally, as a result of physiological disruptions…

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Disentangling reporting and disease transmission

Disentangling reporting and disease transmission

Second order statistics such as variance and autocorrelation can in principle provide early warning of disease (re-)emergence. Such statistics can detect the approach to an…

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Multiscale model of regional population decline in little brown bats due to white‐nose syndrome

Multiscale model of regional population decline in little brown bats due to white‐nose syndrome

The introduced fungal pathogen Pseudogymnoascus destructans causes White-nose syndrome in North American bats, putting some populations at risk for extinction or extirpation. The severity of…

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