HIV continues to disproportionately impact African American/black and Latino Men who have Sex with Men (MSM), underscoring the importance of effective messages about HIV testing…
In natural ecosystems where parasites infect multiple host species, the dynamics of the hosts and parasites are entangled in ways that are not always obvious….
Which animal species are the most likely carriers of future emerging diseases? New research led by Barbara Han (also involving JP Schmidt, Sarah Bowden, and…
Early warning signals of critical transitions arise due to critical slowing down as a dynamical system approaches a tipping point. Extinction of a biological population…
Ecological niche modeling concerns the task of identifying the environmental conditions under which species persist. Niche modeling — and the mapping of species distributions it…
UPDATE: This paper has now been published by PLOS Biology, including new projections going into Summer 2015. Click here for the full text. A preprint of our…
In recent years, mathematical models and computer simulations have become an integral part of planning and coordinating public health response to outbreaks of infectious disease….
Several groups from the NIH MIDAS Network have been cooperating for the past few months on research supporting the response to the 2014 West Africa epidemic of…
While avian influenza viruses are notoriously diverse, human adapted influenza is quite similar from place to place, evolving only relatively slowly and with strain replacement…
The methodology of ecological niche modeling has long been a topic of interest in the lab. A particular challenge has been the development of methods that…