Drake Lab
Laboratory of Population Dynamics
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UGA arch University of Georgia

Odum School of Ecology Odum School of Ecology

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Early warning signals of dynamic bifurcation in the emergence of monkeypox virus

Early warning signals of dynamic bifurcation in the emergence of monkeypox virus

January 12, 2016
Andrea Silletti
Presentation

John Drake. Modeling Infectious Disease Agents Study (MIDAS) Network Meeting. April 28-30, 2015, Atlanta.

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Leading indicators of mosquito-borne disease elimination

Leading indicators of mosquito-borne disease elimination

January 5, 2016
John Drake
Critical transitions, Epidemics, New paper

The elimination of malaria and other mosquito-borne pathogens is a major public health issue worldwide. A considerable obstacle to disease elimination in resource poor countries…

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Theory of early warning signals for disease emergence and leading indicators of elimination

Theory of early warning signals for disease emergence and leading indicators of elimination

December 9, 2013
John Drake
Critical transitions, Epidemics

Emerging pathogens are among the most visible and costly threats to individual and public health. Antibiotics, vaccines, and the molecular revolution in biology have not…

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Lecture on early warning signals of infectious disease dynamics at the Isaac Newton Institute, Cambridge, UK

Lecture on early warning signals of infectious disease dynamics at the Isaac Newton Institute, Cambridge, UK

November 6, 2013
John Drake
Epidemics, News and Notes

This year is the 20th anniversary of the Programme on Epidemic Models held at the Isaac Newton Institute for Mathematical Sciences in Cambridge, UK. In…

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Gypsy moth invasion

Gypsy moth invasion

September 23, 2013
Andrea Silletti
Allee effect, Critical transitions, Invasive species

Background   A partial differential equation model of population growth and dispersal developed by Lewis and Karieva (1993) predicts that invading populations subject to an…

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Extinction in deteriorating environments

Extinction in deteriorating environments

September 23, 2013
Andrea Silletti
Critical transitions, Extinction

Above – A composite early warning index comprising all four indicators is highly sensitive to the onset of critical slowing down. a, Time-specific calculations of…

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Gypsy moth invasion and the Allee Effect

Gypsy moth invasion and the Allee Effect

September 18, 2013
Andrea Silletti
Allee effect, Critical transitions, Extinction

Background A partial differential equation model of population growth and dispersal developed by Lewis and Karieva (1993) predicts that invading populations subject to an Allee…

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Lab Mission

Our lab uses experiments, field data, and quantitative models to characterize and understand the dynamic and stochastic processes that determine fluctuations, spatial distribution, and extinction of biological populations. Our overarching aim is to produce socially responsible and actionable scientific knowledge in the service of human and environmental welfare.

Research areas

Areas of interest include the theory of extinction, the problem of coexistence, emergence and spread of infectious diseases, management of invasive species, and critical phenomena in ecology and epidemiology. Applications of our work include epidemic preparedness and forecasting (in both wildlife and human populations), conservation of rare and endangered species, and management of invasive species.

Contact

John M. Drake
140 E. Green St.
Odum School of Ecology
University of Georgia
Athens, GA 30602-2202
email: jdrake@uga.edu

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