Drake Lab
Laboratory of Population Dynamics
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Timescales of extinction over a patch size gradient

Timescales of extinction over a patch size gradient

September 27, 2013
Andrea Silletti
Extinction

Background  Theory predicts that the logarithm of mean extinction times will scale with patch carrying capacity. Although previous results are consistent with this theory over…

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Distribution of extinction times

Distribution of extinction times

September 27, 2013
Andrea Silletti
Extinction

Background  Few experimental or observational datasets are available from which to learn about the stochastic properties of extinction. Particularly, there have been no large studies…

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Extinction in variable environments

Extinction in variable environments

September 27, 2013
Andrea Silletti
Extinction

Background. Theory predicts that extinction rates should be lower in constant environments than in randomly fluctuating environments with the same average conditions. This is because…

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Metapopulation dynamics

Metapopulation dynamics

September 27, 2013
Andrea Silletti
Extinction

It is well understood that natural populations do not necessarily reflect the assumption of a homogeneous well-mixed population assumed by most of theories of population…

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Doubly-regulated populations

Doubly-regulated populations

September 27, 2013
Andrea Silletti
Extinction

Background. Population persistence is predicted by theory to increase with carrying capacity and a population’s capacity to increase rapidly.  We view both carrying capacity and…

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Aging in fluctuating environments

Aging in fluctuating environments

September 25, 2013
Andrea Silletti
Evolution

Above Test tube habitats for individual D. magna raised under different food resource fluctuation schemes How individual organisms modify their life trajectories to cope with…

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Extinction in deteriorating environments

Extinction in deteriorating environments

September 23, 2013
Andrea Silletti
Critical transitions, Extinction

Above – A composite early warning index comprising all four indicators is highly sensitive to the onset of critical slowing down. a, Time-specific calculations of…

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Two-phase extinction hazard

Two-phase extinction hazard

September 18, 2013
Andrea Silletti
Extinction

One of the interesting things about the theory of population extinction is that despite widely differing processes for the cause of extinction (demographic stochasticity, environmental…

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Extinction due to a predator-driven Allee effect

Extinction due to a predator-driven Allee effect

September 18, 2013
Andrea Silletti
Allee effect, Extinction

Background. Recent studies on animal populations in the field have attributed positive-density dependence at low density to a predator-driven Allee effect (e.g. Wittmer et al….

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Lab Mission

Our lab uses experiments, field data, and quantitative models to characterize and understand the dynamic and stochastic processes that determine fluctuations, spatial distribution, and extinction of biological populations. Our overarching aim is to produce socially responsible and actionable scientific knowledge in the service of human and environmental welfare.

Research areas

Areas of interest include the theory of extinction, the problem of coexistence, emergence and spread of infectious diseases, management of invasive species, and critical phenomena in ecology and epidemiology. Applications of our work include epidemic preparedness and forecasting (in both wildlife and human populations), conservation of rare and endangered species, and management of invasive species.

Contact

John M. Drake
140 E. Green St.
Odum School of Ecology
University of Georgia
Athens, GA 30602-2202
email: jdrake@uga.edu

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